Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.005754 0.006587 0.007552 0.008764 0.010263 0.012081 0.014494
2025-11-16 0.004477 0.005456 0.006696 0.008423 0.010835 0.014200 0.019483
2025-11-23 0.003916 0.004980 0.006418 0.008577 0.011894 0.017093 0.026602
2025-11-30 0.003445 0.004515 0.006026 0.008429 0.012398 0.019240 0.033544
2025-12-07 0.003056 0.004095 0.005615 0.008140 0.012562 0.020818 0.040281
2025-12-14 0.002788 0.003812 0.005357 0.008028 0.012975 0.022968 0.049702
2025-12-21 0.002649 0.003701 0.005340 0.008305 0.014153 0.027125 0.067907
2025-12-28 0.002556 0.003645 0.005400 0.008720 0.015715 0.032895 0.098401
2026-01-04 0.002423 0.003512 0.005311 0.008838 0.016680 0.037699 0.133807
2026-01-11 0.002276 0.003340 0.005134 0.008751 0.017154 0.041415 0.172715
2026-01-18 0.002162 0.003212 0.005019 0.008770 0.017891 0.046437 0.235283
2026-01-25 0.002028 0.003039 0.004803 0.008541 0.017942 0.049199 0.293238
2026-02-01 0.001866 0.002816 0.004493 0.008108 0.017452 0.050179 0.348125
2026-02-08 0.001735 0.002639 0.004255 0.007805 0.017276 0.052526 0.442950
2026-02-15 0.001670 0.002571 0.004217 0.007944 0.018424 0.061759 0.771932
2026-02-22 0.001581 0.002455 0.004072 0.007811 0.018713 0.067353 1.185204
2026-03-01 0.001488 0.002323 0.003885 0.007551 0.018527 0.070398 1.676418
2026-03-08 0.001419 0.002232 0.003770 0.007450 0.018850 0.077001 2.967237
2026-03-15 0.001389 0.002209 0.003793 0.007699 0.020492 0.094942 12.093349
2026-03-22 0.001370 0.002208 0.003859 0.008073 0.022791 0.123648 792.397238
2026-03-29 0.001331 0.002163 0.003827 0.008179 0.024104 0.148049 NaN
2026-04-05 0.001280 0.002092 0.003734 0.008100 0.024620 0.166151 NaN
2026-04-12 0.001239 0.002040 0.003677 0.008117 0.025590 0.194308 NaN